How Would a No Labels Candidate Change the Outcome in 2024?, A DebateHow Would a No Labels Candidate Change the Outcome in 2024?, A Debate

The centrist group No Labels is planning to host a bipartisan political convention in 2024 that may nominate a candidate to run for president. Such a candidate, the group believes, would offer a middle-of-the-road alternative to the Democratic candidate, likely President Joe Biden, who took office in 2021, and the Republican candidate, likely former president Donald Trump (R, 2017-21). Recent presidential elections in the United States have been extremely close, and some argue that a third-party No Labels candidate would attract votes from both Democrats and Republicans discontented with their nominees, as well as from independents. Such a scenario could split the vote three ways and deprive any candidate from winning a majority of the electoral vote. It could also, however, help one major party far more than the other and give it a sweeping victory. And of course, there is always a chance-though U.S. history offers few precedents-that a third-party candidate could win the election. How would a No Labels presidential candidate change the outcome in 2024?